Bankers’ Liability and Risk Taking

Yves here. It’s useful to have a study confirm the connection between limited liability and more risky owner/operator behavior. Recall the New York Stock Exchange had stipulated that the exchange had to approve of all of the shareholders of member firms, and in the wake of the Depression, had further required that all NYSE members be partnerships to help restore trust in equity investing. That went out the window in 1970 when Donaldson Lufkin & Jenrette filed to go public and the NYSE didn’t kick them out.

I worked at Goldman when it was a partnership, and the firm worked very hard to make everyone, even the most junior professionals, understand sources of legal and business risk and steer clear of them. Liability avoidance was close to a religion.

By Peter Koudijs, Associate Professor of Finance, Stanford Graduate School of Business, Laura Salisbury, Assistant Professor, Department of Economics, York University and Gurpal S. Sran, PhD Candidate in Accounting, University of Chicago Booth School of Business. Originally published at VoxEU

In order to protect the financial system from excessive risk-taking, many argue that bank managers need to have more personal liability. However, whether the liability of bank managers has a significant effect on risk-taking is an open question. This column studies a unique historical episode in which similar bankers, operating in similar institutional and economic environments, faced different degrees of personal liability, depending on the timing of their marriages, and finds that limited liability induced bankers to take more risks.

In 2015, seven years after the failure of Lehman Brothers brought the financial world to the brink of collapse, Dick Fuld, the former CEO, sold his Idaho mansion for around $30 million dollars, setting a record for private home auctions. It seems he was ready to leave his private trout-fishing stream and return to the world of high finance.

Naturally, Dick Fuld lost significant sums of money when his bank collapsed. Bebchuk et al. (2010) calculate that, in 2000, Fuld owned about $200 million of Lehman Brother stock, which would eventually become worthless. Nevertheless, Fuld withdrew about $520 million from the bank between 2000 and 2008 in the form of cash bonuses and equity sales, none of which was accessible to Lehman’s creditors.

This raises the question of whether bank managers’ incentives are set appropriately to protect the financial system from excessive risk-taking. Managers can cash in on a bank’s profits when things are going well, but they shoulder minimal losses if the bank fails (Bhagat and Bolton 2014). This limited liability may encourage them to take undue risks with depositors’ money. There is a growing chorus of commentators arguing that the financial system will only be safe if bank managers have more personal liability (e.g. Kay 2015, Cohan 2017).

Whether the liability of bank managers has a significant effect on risk-taking is an open question. Bank managers care about their reputations and future careers; so, they might try to avoid the failure of their bank at any cost. Other stakeholders, such as uninsured creditors, may be able to force banks to reduce risk-taking (Calomiris and Kahn 1991, Diamond and Rajan 2000). To make their case, proponents of increased personal liability often point to what happened to investment banks over the last few decades. Before the 1980s, investment banks operated as partnerships with unlimited liability. During the 1980s, they went public. Anecdotally, this seems to have gone hand in hand with increased risk taking. However, this coincided with a period of general financial deregulation. So, how do we know what caused investment banks to take more risk?

In recent work (Koudijs et al. 2018), we study a unique historical episode in which similar bankers, operating in similar institutional and economic environments, faced different degrees of personal liability, depending on the timing of their marriages. Our findings suggest that limited liability really matters for bank risk-taking.

Banker Liability in the Past

While bankers today shoulder relatively little risk, this was not always the case. During the US National Banking era (1864-1912), shares in national banks carried double liability. If a bank failed, each shareholder needed to pay back depositors out of personal assets, up to the amount of his original investment in the bank. For example, if he initially invested $1,000, he could lose that investment an additional $1,000. Bank presidents – who were responsible for the day-to-day operations of the bank – were major shareholders, typically owning 10-20% of their bank’s stock.

The early part of the National Banking era coincides with a change in the marital property laws of certain US states. Under traditional American common law, when a woman married, her property became her husband’s. Starting in the 1840s, states started to pass Married Women’s Property Acts (MWPAs), which allowed married women to own property in their own right. However, these laws only applied to couples married after the passage of the MWPA. Crucially, the MWPAs protected a married woman’s property from claims against her husband. If her husband was a national bank president, this included double liability claims on his bank’s shares.

The typical national bank president during the 1860s and 1870s was a middle-aged, married man. Depending on his birth year, age at marriage, and state of marriage, he may have been married before or after the passage of a MWPA in his state. In the latter case, his wife’s property would have been protected from any double liability claims if his bank failed. As such, his household liability would have been less than that of an otherwise identical banker who was married before a MWPA.

Here’s a simple example. A banker with $100 in assets marries a woman with $100. The banker invests $75 in his bank. If this marriage occurred before a MWPA, depositors (represented by the regulator) could lay claim to $75 of the household’s remaining personal assets if the bank failed. However, if the marriage occurred after a MWPA, depositors would only have a right to the $25 the banker individuallyhad left. This reduction in personal liability may have led the banker to put his depositors’ money into riskier but higher-yield investments.

Limited Liability and Bank Risk-Taking

We collect data on the activities of New England national banks during the 1860s and 1870s, as well as information about bank presidents’ marriage histories. This allows us to classify bankers as ‘protected’ (i.e. married after a MWPA was passed in his state) or ‘unprotected’. We then compare the risk-taking behaviour of protected and unprotected bankers.

A key measure of bank risk-taking is leverage. We define this as loans and securities  – inherently risky investments made by the bank – relative to capital invested in the bank by shareholders. A bank that extends more loans relative to capital is more likely to suffer losses that render it unable to pay back depositors.

As it turns out, bankers with less personal liability managed more highly levered banks. More precisely, a bank’s ratio of loans and securities to capital was 7 to 10 percentage points higher if its president was married after a MWPA. This does not reflect underlying differences between protected and unprotected bankers (such as age), or the characteristics of counties or towns that they live in. It also does not reflect characteristics of the banks themselves – when an individual bank switches from having an unprotected president to a protected president (through turnover, or a change in the president’s marital status), leverage increases in that bank.

Not surprisingly, the impact of a president’s protection status is contingent on the relative wealth of his wife. Figure 1 plots the difference in leverage between banks with protected and unprotected presidents with different intra-household allocations of property (inferred from the ratio of the wife’s family wealth to the husband’s family wealth). Being married after a MWPA only increases leverage for bankers whose wives own a sufficiently large share of the household’s property.

Figure 1 The effect of limited liability on bank leverage

 

Source: Figure 1 in Koudijs et al. (2018).
Note: Figure uses non-parametric local mean smoothing, where both the x-axis and y-axis variables are residualised with fixed effects and control variables. The vertical lines denote the 5thand 95thconfidence intervals.

Bankers with less personal liability were more likely to engage in other risky lending practices as well. In particular, they were more likely to ‘hide’ bad loans on their balance sheets, and to extend loans that were ‘too risky’ according to regulators.

Limited Liability and Financial Crises: The Panic of 1873

What were the consequences of protected bankers’ risky behaviour? We look at what happened to banks managed by presidents who faced different degrees of personal liability after the Panic of 1873. The Panic of 1873 was a nationwide financial crisis, triggered by the failure of an East-Coast investment bank, and followed by a string of bank failures and a lengthy recession (sound familiar?).

In fact, banks managed by bankers with less personal liability fared worse after the Panic. Banks managed by bankers married after a MWPA experienced a larger decline in earnings relative to capital over the course of the depression (Figure 2). Moreover, this effect is most pronounced for bankers with relatively wealthy wives, whose personal liability would have been most limited by a MWPA (Figure 3).

Figure 2  The effect of limited liability on bank earnings after the Panic of 1873

 

Source: Figure 2, Panel A  in Koudijs et al. (2018).
Note: Figure plots coefficients from regressions of aggregate earnings over capital on the protection status of the banker in 1873, including fixed effects and other controls. The vertical lines denote the 5thand 95thconfidence intervals. 

Figure 3 The effect of limited liability on bank earnings, 1873-1878

 

Source: Figure 3, Panel A in Koudijs et al. (2018).
Note: Figure uses non-parametric local mean smoothing, where both the x-axis and y-axis variables are residualised with fixed effects and control variables. The vertical lines denote the 5thand 95thconfidence intervals.

In short, limited liability induced bankers to take more risks, and this had real consequences for performance during a financial crisis.

Our findings strongly suggest that increasing bank managers’ liability would discourage bank risk-taking, subject to the usual caveats about extrapolating from a historical period to the present.

What does this imply about optimal bank regulation? One thing to consider is whether limiting bank risk-taking is a good thing. While less-risky banks may reduce the likelihood of a major financial crisis, they may also limit beneficial lending to innovative new businesses. We find no evidence, however, that this was the case in the 19th century – the protection status of local bankers did not affect innovation in manufacturing firms, measured through the adoption of steam power. Still, this evidence is only suggestive. More work remains to be done to establish the ‘right’ amount of banker liability.

One important lesson is that, in terms of policy, one size does not fit all. The effectiveness of a policy that increases banker liability will depend on bankers’ individual circumstances. Bankers with a comfortable ‘cushion’ (through marriage or an independent source of wealth) may respond differently than those who do not.

So long as our laws allow bankers to shield the profits from risky investments from the claims of creditors, bankers will find clever ways to do so. Which brings us back to Dick Fuld. In 2009, when calls for personal lawsuits against bankers were loudest, Fuld ‘sold’ his $13.5 million Florida beachside getaway to his wife for a mere $100—a modern twist on the concept of limited spousal liability that began with the MWPAs. Regulators should ask themselves whether the benefits of limited liability outweigh the costs. Our research suggests that they may not.

See for references

Print Friendly, PDF & Email

8 comments

  1. Colonel Smithers

    Thank you, Yves.

    The issue was raised at a talk in the City yesterday lunchtime.

    It was a similar situation in the UK as partnerships and family firms, although Barings in the 1890s and 1990s made exceptions, cashed out from the 1980s and risk taking accelerated.

    Although the big Swiss private banks were family partnerships until a few years ago, there were ways of sheltering family assets from liabilities.

    Having a wealthy wife does help. Colleagues often moaned about our former CEO. His defenestration in April was cushioned by marriage to a Dupont.

    The only pure unlimited liability firm I can think of now is Baillie Gifford, a fund manager in Edinburgh and considered a bit Calvinist.

    Reply
  2. Raulb

    Personal liability is not going to fly. This is a setup as advocating it dilutes the seriousness of the issue by making it personal, creates a distraction from the issue of fraud and at risk of ending up making the bankers look like victims.

    The problem here is regulatory capture and executives not being held accountable for illegal actions. If blatantly illegal behavior is not being prosecuted by regulators and the law enforcement system on what basis does anyone think personal liability will be enforced?

    The agency problem and problems with executive compensation committees has been discussed for decades. But forget any solution the economics profession has instead used the time to manufacture false narratives of ‘wealth creators’ and ‘geniuses’ used to justify increasingly ludicrous compensation packages disconnected from performance and reality..

    The end result is self styled ‘geniuses’ destroying one company, cashing out with a golden parachute to move to another or park themselves in private equity until something comes along. There is no accountability or any seriousness, just fawning glorification, excuses and making things up to justify high pay packets. This is brazen corruption and capture of the economics profession.

    Notice the behavior of ‘economists’ during the recent Bernie Sanders Amazon bill to understand their priorities and concerns. They are absolutely shameless in their ideology and greed.

    Reply
  3. Susan the other

    How do we translate economics for profit into environmental behavior? We probably do not. We need fewer Nobel winners and more boots on the ground. And bankers are the middlemen, not the achievers. If we look at The Big Mess and begin the discussion by asking bankers to “raise your hand if you have a suggestion” it will certainly be more of the same pointless financiaization of the planet. Certainly no economist is going to tell them that. Economists are too polite to address the relentless universe of liability. Liabilities are now a theme for Monty Python only. It’s too arrogant for bankers and governments to claim to know how to tweak their own knobs and then pretend to get us out of trouble. They have no choice now but to fork over hundreds of trillions of public money – backed by nothing but the good faith of everyone alive – to shovel ready solutions. If we are lucky time itself will save us in the decades to come and sobriety will gradually allow us to see the Real Value of Things… and language will evolve.

    Reply
  4. Anonomous

    Hopefully future arguments and analytical examples of questionable banking practices will be more up current and thus relatable.
    To day, we have global federal politicians who answer not to their tax paying countrymen, but to banksters.
    Each and every year since 2009, our politicians (no matter their party) have inserted ‘bank bailout/bail-in’ clauses in their annual budgets. Nice but a dirty trick to again (like in 2008) dump the ‘bad guys’ loses on innocent depositor/taxpayers.

    After all, taxpayers are NEVER allowed to share in the benefits or income acquired through their ‘forced’ participation in say, derivatives, or corporate welfare, under the guise of commercial investments made with their money. Only loses?

    Why, because liabilities like the now obese tax loopholes, are to be paid for, by taxpayers (never the 1% who control laws and currencies).

    Imagine if worded differently, how this could easily sound like communism. Where state’s decisions shielding corporate welfare, excessive financial investment secrecy, possibly as unsound, as derivatives are according to the IMF(823 trillion in o/s derivative contracts-with banks/corporations, etc) allow bank/corporate speculation to run-a-muck knowing taxpayers will be wiped out first.

    Now imagine further, how our private banks demand their asinine investment loses are no longer their responsibility, but MUST be forced on depositors/taxpayers. Either through bank bailouts, or trade deals with the infamous Chapter 11, in which corporate tribunals were given absolute power to dump ‘any’ losses through changes in laws, on to taxpayers (i.e. the government/taxpayer pays for their arrogance). Since bank bailouts/bail-ins are now the means for reckless banking/corporate investments, to profit from the next financial crisis, the 99% will be left to mirror a system of global Cypress banks, all thanks to the dictates of our reigning 1%.

    The third party to aid and abet, are the hedge fund owners, again given immunity from any losses or scrutiny, via their banking ‘preferred creditor status’, along with a sweet lowered tax rate of 15%.

    This translates into politicians, who ignore the basic of contract law, by making depositors/taxpayers the only segment to be forced to go bankrupt, by paying off the gambling debts of the banks/corporations, to all hedge fund owners involved.
    No public oversight or admitted legal policies have yet to govern real aspects of the derivative market, which already devastated ordinary people through the fraud and scams of the financial bombast of global MBS’s and CDS’s sales in 2008.

    Indeed, the simple phrase ‘precarious’ paints a melting picture of the values associated, only with people and their laws, like the air and water needed to thrive, not just survive.
    Since 2008, people have only been able to maintain a little security, soon all the debts of others will be force-fed like theft, with no means of last resort.

    Like the inhuman comments of an economist, who was said to remark, if we could only ‘get rid’ of 90 million people then climate change could be stabilized(paraphrasing) Appears the answer to the crimes of so few, are the toxic measures soon to be ‘legally’ directed on the many who should question, all.

    Reply
  5. flora

    Thanks for this post.
    It debunks the implied claims used by bankers pushing for deregulation that deregulation of the banks and removing personal financial/regulatory risk from bank CEOs would open an era of growing prosperity for all and improved banking efficiency without increasing risky financial behavior by those same CEOs.

    Reply
  6. RBHoughton

    Lloyd’s of London the insurance market backed formerly by the wealth of thousands of individuals moved to a three year accounting period when it collapsed in late 1980s. After that time, ‘names’ got their paper accounts timely but had to wait for three years before any distribution of profits could take place. This allowed the market to claim back late-breaking claims, those long-tail risks like asbestosis that only materialised years after the policies had been determined.

    This was the shareholders picking up the tab rather than the executive staff but its suggests a way of dealing with the problem.

    Its not simply limited liability that needs to be addressed. The British 1862 Companies Act introduced the corporate person, a company having the legal status of a person. That has been the basis to all the corporate nominee nonsense that makes merchants’ dealings anonymous. I was told (but do not know) that the clause was introduced to protect British shipowners from claims for cargo damage and was ignored by the business community until the following century when someone asked for a judicial construction and discovered its astonishing meaning. If there is an intention to clean-up biz, this should be revisited too.

    Reply

Leave a Reply