Most of the financial media covering CalPERS, save top reporters like Dan Primack, needs to wake up and start reporting on the giant pension fund’s gross misrepresentations about the private equity scheme it’s desperately trying to get its board to approve, despite staff’s failure to offer coherent reasons.
The fact that CalPERS plans to have the board agree today to change its policy so as to end direct investments, as well as limit other types of private equity investing, might get asleep-at-the-wheel members of the press to recognize that they’ve been snookered. As we, private equity expert Ashby Monk of Stanford, and some reporters like Primack have pointed out, what CalPERS is planning to do has nothing to do with direct investing. Perhaps CalPERS formal renunciation of direct investing will get them to sit up and take notice.
On top of that, senior figures in the limited partner community have taken it upon themselves to the board to try to tell them that the CalPERS plan is the nuttiest thing they’ve ever heard of.
For those new to private equity, “direct investing” is when an investor uses its own employees to make and oversee investments in companies, rather than rely on the costly middlemen. Most reporters have been so lazy that they’ve merely looked at the name CalPERS has applied to its gimmick, “CalPERS Direct,” and failed to examine its substance.
The reason that direct investing is being more widely adopted among major private equity investors like sovereign wealth funds, and now public pension funds, is to cut out costly private equity fund managers. CalPERS confirmed in a 2015 workshop that private equity fees and expenses are roughly 7% a year.
When private equity was generating eye-popping results, no one cared much about costs. But returns to private equity investments have fallen over the last decade, to the degree that a recent analysis by Oxford professor Ludovic Phalippou, using the most rigorous method and is also suited for comparing private equity performance to that of other investment strategies, found that over the last decade, private equity has not outperformed the S&P 500. CalPERS own metrics have shown that private equity has generally failed to meet its benchmarks over the past decade. And CalPERS’ consultants forecast that private equity would not meet its benchmarks over the next decade.
But rather than start moving more private equity management in house to cut these ginormous costs and improve net returns, as more and more major investors are doing, CalPERS is instead plans to go pedal to the metal in the opposite direction.
CalPERS intends to create two entirely new companies which will effectively be dedicated general partners.1 CalPERS won’t even choose any board members. The new entities will choose them…. which mean CalPERS will have even less influence and insight over what the vehicles are doing that it does in traditional private equity funds, since CalPERS is often a member of their advisory committees. CalPERS may also give up other limited-partner protections, such as key man provisions and language that describes the scope of investments.
It is highly unlikely that there will be savings because skilled professionals will insist on having compensation potential similar to what they get now, particularly since CalPERS has maintained it could unwind the deal at any time.2 Accordingly, when asked specifically by a Bloomberg reporter if CalPERS expected to lower cost, Ted Eliopoulos effectively said no.
The rationale that Eliopoulos has harped on makes no sense, namely, that CalPERS needs its own pet vehicles because it is having trouble investing “at scale”. That assertion needs to be laughed out of the room. For starters, even bigger investors in private equity have said nothing of the kind. At best, it is proof that Eliopoulos wasn’t the man for the Chief Investment Officer job. Accordingly should have nothing to do with formulating an untested strategy that is going in the opposite direction of what CalPERS ought to be doing.
First, as private equity professionals point out, anyone can deploy money rapidly. As the founder of a major private firm said, “I could close a fund at 9 AM and be fully invested by noon if I wanted to be.” The hard part is not buying companies, it’s buying good companies at attractive prices. And the reason that is tough now is that so many fund managers have record levels of “dry powder,” as in committed capital waiting to be deployed.
Setting up new vehicles out of CalPERS’ control is not going to do anything to solve the overall problem of way too much money chasing too few deals.
Second, if CalPERS did think it needed to do more to get better access to deals so it could invest more money, the way to do that would be to do everything it could to access as many different high-caliber channels. To the extent CalPERS is actually having a problem here, it is solely Eliopoulos’ creation. One of his big initiatives was to shrink the number of private equity managers CalPERS uses. That proved to be a failure, according to CalPERS’ own consultant. From Pensions & Investments last November:
The $338.8 billion California Public Employees’ Retirement System, Sacramento, is in the midst of a multiyear process of reducing its number of private equity managers to 30 by 2020. CalPERS reported the number of managers had been reduced to 99 as of June 30, 2016, the latest date available, from more than 200 in 2015. The review notes that the decision to concentrate commitments to the “core 30” was “intended to reduce complexity and costs of managing the portfolio, help improve investment terms due to CalPERS being a larger investor and allow CalPERS to take advantage of the broad range of investment opportunities (e.g., co-investments and customized accounts) that may be available from certain managers.”
In its review, however, Meketa, which succeeded Pension Consulting Alliance as private equity consultant effective March 31, says the program may not realize optimal returns and may not be able to maintain the 8% target to the asset class.
The review says by relying on 30 managers who are concentrated primarily in mega- and large buyout strategies, CalPERS may miss out on better returns from other managers. “Other strategies such as mid and small buyouts, and growth could provide stronger returns as well as strategy and manager diversification,” the review said.
The review also said CalPERS has not received meaningful fee reductions that were not available to other limited partners, and the program has shown an inability to deploy the larger commitment amounts it desires to obtain.
Rather than admit this initiative was a mistake and quietly reverse it, CalPERS instead is further restricting its investment options via the new private equity policy that the board is likely to approve later today. From the agenda item summary, page 3:
Help me. Why is simplicity a ? It was at best a means to achieve other ends, and per Meketa, the approach hasn’t worked. That means CalPERS is stubbornly doubling down on failure.
And more important, sports fans, have no doubt about it, CalPERS is adopting an official policy to do no direct investing whatsoever. See the table below from page 3 of the same document for further confirmation:
Page 6 of Attachment 1 for Item 6a on today’s agenda, titled “Investment Policy for Private Equity Program” describes how CalPERS will further restrict its private equity investment opportunities:
Bear in mind that the proposed policy will restrict co-investments further than now (for those of you still getting your arms around private equity jargon, a “co-investment” is when a general partner allows an investor to take a minority stake in a portfolio company, typically at lower fees than for any ownership position through the private equity fund). CalPERS plans to restrict these investments to managers that CalPERS already has a relationship with. This limitation is bizarre given that CalPERS’ own experts, such as panelists at an offsite in July 2017, recommended co-investments as a way for CalPERS to improve performance and build skills.
This change looks even more dodgy give that staff, starting with Chief Investment Officer Ted Eliopoulos, has repeatedly claimed that the main problem facing CalPERS private equity program is the supposed inability to put out the money. Would CalPERS really say no to a co-investment opportunity with Bain Capital just because CalPERS does not have a relationship with Bain?
In addition, as you can see in 4 above, the proposed policy says that the CalPERS commitment to any one fund cannot exceed more than 25% of total committed capital. However, in any “separately managed account” private equity relationship, CalPERS will constitute by definition 100% of the capital in the fund that constitutes the vehicle for the separately managed account.
Thus the policy as written would end the use of separately managed accounts. That would amount to CalPERS shooting itself in the foot.3
Recall, from the Pensions & Investments article that we quoted earlier, that CalPERS’ consultant Meketa said that CalPERS focusing on fewer relationships had not led the giant pension fund to get better terms. If CalPERS participated in a typical co-mingled fund, investors get “favored nation” clauses that mean that no investor can get better terms than they do.4 However, if CalPERS were to ask a fund manager to set up a mirror fund as as separately managed account, it would have the opportunity to get additional concessions. IF anything, there is a fad right now for single managed accounts for precisely that reason. From a McKinsey report earlier this year:
One notable recent development is the super-sizing of these SMAs, as LPs seek broader, deeper, more strategic relationships with a smaller number of trusted managers. These partnerships tend to be characterized by larger allocations, “most favored” fees, and increasingly, terms that reflect perfor-mance across the entire relationship rather than in individual transactions or asset classes.
Mind you, we observed at the time that separately managed accounts were subject to abuse,5 and hence needed to be thought through with care. But ruling them out entirely is misguided
Now it is possible that CalPERS intended that the 25% limit to apply to the entire “fund complex,” but if so, that should be clearly stated. Otherwise it is just sloppy.
And that’s before you get to the fact that this document is silent on many policy parameters governing private equity investments, such as guidelines for minimum general partner commitment, acceptability of the general partner meeting its commitment via management fee waiver, fund leverage, permissible jurisdictions (e.g., Cayman Islands, Jersey Islands) for funds to be organized in, and many others.
CalPERS defenders may try falling back on this language from the last page of the agenda item description:
In fact, this snippet serves as as reminder as to how confused this process is. Any specific programs, including the CalPERS supposedly gee-whiz-newfanged private equity gimmickry, should be consistent with and implement policy. Launching initiatives and then making the policy conform to them makes clear that the policy-making is a joke.
Nor does this “we’ll tidy things up later” language allow loyalists to claim that CalPERS new scheme will be direct investing.
CalPERS is in fact planing to do what would be more accurately called “even more indirect investing”. As we stated in May:
Per the chart below, you can see that we are not exaggerating when we call Eliopoulos’ sales patter a Big Lie. Repeating the word “direct” does not make it so. any more than when Trump doubles down on things that are obviously false, like his inauguration getting record turnout.
In other words, what CalPERS is doing is awfully reminiscent of the old joke someone shooting their parents and then asking for sympathy for being an orphan. But CalPERS has managed to be even more brazen. The CalPERS version of this saw would be that someone shot one parent and sought special treatment for being an orphan, and then shot the second one since one dead parent clearly wasn’t good enough. CalPERS first shot its ability to deploy its private equity dollars as broadly as it could by greatly restricting the number of managers it will use, and is now taking its second shot by eliminating direct investing and separately managed accounts and restricting co-investments.
But this isn’t a joke as far as CalPERS beneficiaries and California taxpayers are concerned. They have to live with the consequences of CalPERS’ self-serving management.
Update 2:30 PM. We had another example of CalPERS’ culture of casual lying at the Investment Committee meeting today. Although we did not address it in the post, the new policy specified that CalPERS could invest in second quartile funds. We didn’t consider this to be worth discussing because the current policy didn’t limit staff regarding which quartile it invested in (separately, this change is pointless for other reasons, such as academic studies have ascertained that 77% of finds can cut the data so as to claim they are top quartile).
Staff yer again lied and said the policy change was necessary to allow them to invest in second quartile funds. Board members Robert Costigan and Theresa Taylor backed staff in this misrepresentation.
1 If you think these new private equity vehicles will remain dedicated to CalPERS, I have a bridge I’d like to sell you. The professionals manning this venture will recognize that CalPERS’ continuing support is an existential risk. They will make persuading CalPERS to allow other investors to join a top priority.
2 Some CalPERS board members actually seem to believe that statement. First, if the private equity vehicles have bought any companies, it will take time to exit unless CalPERS is so eager to escape that it is willing to take fire-sale prices. Second, you can be sure that the professionals running these businesses will get terms included in their agreements that will make it costly to CalPERS to shut down these ventures.
3 CalPERS may claim that separately managed accounts are called “custom accounts” in CalPERS-(and-even-industry)-speak and therefore the section we highlighted does not apply to them. At best, as we pointed out, it is incompetent for CalPERS to be at the “second reading” stage of presentation to the board and for no one to have caught that different provisions of CalPERS policies contradict each other. At worse, it gives the impression that CalPERS board members, and potentially staff members, don’t even comprehend that the legal structure of a seperately managed account is that CalPERS is a sole limited partner and thus inherently providing 100% of the limited partner monies to that fund.
4 The fund managers have worked around the “most favored nation” restrictions to a degree by allowing for tiered pricing, with, say, investors who commit up to $100 million getting one set of fees, investors who commit $100 to $250 million getting better fees, and investors who pony up $250 million or more getting the best deal. In addition, these restrictions aren’t as absolute as they might sound. Fund managers do give concessions to specific limited partners via so-called “side letters,” but those carveouts are generally to accommodate jurisdiction-specific legal or regulatory requirements.
5 As we warned:
Not only does the SMA investor have to worry that they are “not inappropriately” excluded from some attractive deals because their economics aren’t worth it, but the fund investors also have to worry that some of the opportunities that would otherwise go to the fund are being allocated away to the SMA.
But if you were to believe McKinsey, these investors are going to get “platinum” treatment even though they usually pay cut-rate fees. How does that make any sense? Why should the general partner not, to the extent he can, allocate the deals with the biggest upside potential to the funds where he gets the largest share?
Ironically, the best protection these SMA investors have is that general partners are (by their own admission in private) poor judges of which of their deals will turn out to be the stellar performers.